By this time, everyone knows who the 18
countries vying for three Olympic slots are. (in case you don't know, they are
France, Serbia, Italy, Canada, Czech Republic, Greece, Angola, Iran, New
Zealand, Puerto Rico, Croatia, Tunisia,
Turkey, Japan, Latvia, Mexico, Senegal and the Philippines)
But this time, everyone would also know that we will be hosting one of the
Olympic Qualifying Tournaments, a distinct honor and a tremendous advantage
accorded to our basketball team.
With the draw looming in a few hours, let’s
take a quick look at which teams would give us the better chance of winning the
Manila leg.
Caveat:
the Gilas lineup I’m using for this comparison includes not just a fit Andray
Blatche, but also a fully healed Junemar Fajardo plus Jordan Clarkson.
But first, a look at the draw pots:
And now, analyzing the probable match ups:
POT 1 – Serbia is a host so we’ll never
face them. It comes down to France vs Greece and while I would dearly love to
see how Jayson Castro matches up against
Tony Parker, how Terence Romeo will react to seeing Rudy Gobert in his
path, how Ranidel de Ocampo will fare against Nicolas Batum, playing Greece is
a much better option for us. Greece is a good team but they haven’t been as
successful in the world stage as they were a decade ago. I’d say we lose big
against the French but win by about 5-8 points versus Greece.